Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.289278 0.390710 0.509140 0.655384 0.828871 1.025944 1.264521
2025-12-07 0.162459 0.282611 0.446139 0.674415 0.974343 1.344982 1.827264
2025-12-14 0.087501 0.203313 0.388570 0.678770 1.095032 1.645252 2.401267
2025-12-21 0.042723 0.141617 0.330952 0.663402 1.179978 1.903361 2.942590
2025-12-28 0.021364 0.105622 0.298729 0.674177 1.297533 2.210979 3.568299
2026-01-04 0.009370 0.077170 0.266790 0.674587 1.394456 2.492586 4.172312
2026-01-11 0.002924 0.052114 0.227982 0.650362 1.444252 2.704024 4.685042
2026-01-18 0.000610 0.035181 0.197637 0.632586 1.498679 2.921808 5.213692
2026-01-25 0.000068 0.025318 0.180198 0.636241 1.588603 3.197607 5.837473
2026-02-01 NaN 0.015741 0.153896 0.611101 1.619958 3.378341 6.322821
2026-02-08 NaN 0.012337 0.149762 0.639010 1.754479 3.734013 7.087546
2026-02-15 NaN 0.008302 0.136776 0.639595 1.833560 3.999255 7.719605
2026-02-22 NaN 0.007144 0.140465 0.689385 2.020458 4.461762 8.684942
2026-03-01 NaN 0.005443 0.137577 0.719389 2.168859 4.864990 9.570165
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003597 0.128891 0.729277 2.275009 5.198981 10.355126
2026-03-15 NaN 0.001904 0.114454 0.715809 2.328147 5.440751 10.998122
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001150 0.108273 0.728572 2.440377 5.792156 11.828002
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000573 0.099721 0.729722 2.525251 6.096109 12.586637
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000161 0.085815 0.704473 2.544792 6.279566 13.149835
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000026 0.074787 0.685847 2.577318 6.487149 13.757174
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000002 0.069337 0.689807 2.665637 6.802753 14.552928
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.058667 0.663237 2.673086 6.962902 15.087928
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.058818 0.692810 2.828999 7.415469 16.131582